Texas Precious Metals

  • Precious Metal Coins vs Money

    How Much is Produced Globally

    Gold and silver have played an important role throughout money's history. Unlike modern currencies, precious metals can't be created out of thin air and derive value from their scarcity.

    Globally, how does the value of minted gold and silver coins compare to currency creation?

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  • An Analysis of Trends in USD, S&P500, and Gold

    On the topic of future inflationary or deflationary expectations, there are strong fundamental arguments on both sides. In my simple interpretation, the deflationary camp (dollar bulls) make the case that the economy remains fractured, entire industries are being undermined by the pandemic, there is high unemployment, the personal savings rate is up, the stock market is at stretched valuations, the housing market is approaching bubble territory, and the demand for US dollars remains the prevailing undercurrent of international trade. The Fed, despite its best efforts, cannot seem to meet its inflation target. Further economic weakness or perhaps a market crash would incite a flight to liquidity, demand for dollars to meet debt obligations, and broad debt defaults, further tightening the monetary supply. A strong dollar generally weighs heavily on the price of precious metals, particularly in short-term liquidity crises, and creates the potential for a near term headwind on metals prices. Read More

  • Precious Metal Coin Production in the COVID-19 Era

    Gold and silver have played an important role throughout money's history. Unlike modern currencies, precious metals can't be created out of thin air and derive value from their scarcity. Read More

  • Is the Near Term Bottom in for Metals?

    GOLD

    The price coiling I highlighted in gold in my last post failed to the downside, which I mentioned was a possibility. There were two key levels, the 1865-1880 band, and then 1800, which would have retested the entire move. Buyers came in strong at 1865 and price held, right at the 100 day moving average. The breakdown from the pennant has created a bull wedge, and the RSI (relative strength index) never hit oversold levels, which implies to me that bulls remain in control. Gold is not completely out of the woods – a breakout of that bull wedge would confirm that 1865 was the interim low. I am looking for confirmation above 1935 and then 1950 for next sizable move. The price action in silver and the miners confirm this thesis. Read More

  • Gold Sitting at Equilibrium - GoldPrice.com

    GOLD

    Since mid-August, sales in the physical precious metals market – red hot at the peak of the COVID outbreak – have begun to taper off slightly. This slowing of demand is directly correlated to price action. I will focus on gold specifically.  Read More

  • Inflationary Winds Blowing Across All Assets

    In a stark reversal from the collapse of nearly every market just six months ago, the winds of inflation have pushed the sails of those same markets back to new (or near) all-time highs. The rebound from Covid has been a V-shaped recovery, not an L-shaped, W-shaped, U-shaped, or some-other-letter shaped recovery. The move in asset prices should not be conflated with an underlying economic return to normalcy - far from it. The rebound is simply a commentary on price.

    Let’s start with my favorite markets - precious metals: Read More

  • Gold, Silver, USD: Where to Next?

    The precious metals market is very clearly in a secular uptrend and prices look poised for further significant upside into the end of the year. My technical view is that in the short term prices have gotten a bit extended and that a pull back/consolidation is due (and healthy) to build the base for the next leg higher. Read More

  • Big Breakouts Across Metals Complex: Gold, Silver, Miners

    Precious metals prices broke out this morning above key resistance levels in the mining sector as well as the underlying futures market for the raw metal.

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  • Silver Setting Up for Third Push to $18.90

    Silver has been a shining star in the metals complex since the March low of $11.60, outperforming all other metals on its run to $18.90/oz. The upside leadership was a welcome sign for precious metals bulls, as silver tends to be a bellwether for bullish appetite in the space.

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  • Gold and Silver Coiling for a Move

    It has been over a month since my last entry on the markets, and aside from a few Twitter posts, most of my analysis has been confined to my desktop. The impact of the coronavirus on the retail precious metals market has been historic, with dueling supply and demand shocks, and as president of Texas Precious Metals, my time has been consumed by day-to-day operations. I finally have a bit of a respite this afternoon to share a few thoughts on the metals markets. Read More